Clean sharp lights shining on an undisturbed baseball diamond is
one of the most calming images to behold. There is no moment in
trading ever so calming with the exception of a quiet trading floor
hours after the close. Today's markets have no refuge, they just grind
endlessly over hills and down valleys. They are supported by serious
explanations of value and derided by suspicious inquisitors.
Bulls have had no lifting problems in 2012, while the bears have
repeatedly been trapped by pull backs believed to be so globally dire
but only to become rally points. Certainly the value of the great
bailout promise from the EU has risen to new highs. Nothing has been
accomplished but the rewording of tired declarations.
This is a powerful time period for all markets as I so remember
back in 1982 with the bottom of commodity markets and the month earlier
bottom is equities. All had be falling for a time and the slow upward
march began in the second week of October. But there is no indication
to the direction here under these extraordinary economic times of
deliberate intervention and almost constant upside bias.
If this is a top, it will fall rapidly. If it is a pullback, the
grind higher will be at the bear's throat before he can cover cleanly.